Pacific Economic Congress
Vladivostok, Russia - 26-27 July 2008
Speech by Ambassador Juan Carlos Capuñay
Executive Director - APEC Secretariat, Singapore
I would like to thank Governor Darkin for inviting me to
participate in this event and permitting me to speak with you about APEC and the
opportunities that exist for Russia.
Much has changed since APEC's inception and the world's
political and economic landscape is much different today than it was 20 years
ago.
The world's financial system has been affected by the
fluctuation of a traditionally stable currency; the consequences of climate
change can be seen throughout the world; food prices are escalating and the
energy market has been impacted by the dramatic increase in the price of oil,
with non-oil producing economies possibly experiencing the most adverse effects.
International relationships have also experienced a
transformation: once-marginal economies are flexing their muscles to secure new
and more open participation in the global market.
It is a precarious time and might even be considered
catalytic - similar to 1989, the year that APEC was first established. The Cold
War had ended but not before affecting dramatic geo-political changes. Political
and ideological confrontation has been replaced by interdependence and a global
economy.
The initial regional economic body in South East Asia
(ASEAN), has evolved into a major entity, not only regional but also
extra-regional power. By the end of the last decade, the international scene
observed the creation of the "Asian Dialogue Partners" and the "ASEAN Regional
Forum", which now includes not only economic issues but also strategic and
political considerations.
At the beginning of this century, in 2005, a new initiative
was adopted: the "East Asia Summit" includes ASEAN, India, Japan, China, Korea,
Australia and New Zealand as members and Russia as an observer. This body is in
the process of drawing together important members, in response to the real
politik of Asia and the Asia-Pacific.
It was in this context that APEC introduced a most innovative
approach, guided by rules that were based on consensus. APEC members were in
various stages of development, cultures could not have been more diverse and a
shared language was among relatively few commonalities.
The only thing that members held in common was the will to
sustain economic growth throughout the region and a conviction that this could
be achieved through trade and investment liberalization and facilitation
throughout the Asia-Pacific region.
Apparently, this single commonality was enough.
Since its inception, APEC has grown from just 12 members to
21. Foreign direct investment inflows to the region are 50 percent greater,
exports 433 percent higher and average tariffs have fallen from 17 percent to
5.5 percent in 2004. More than 200 million new jobs have been created in the
region including 180 million in lower-income economies, and almost 200 million
people have been lifted out of poverty - a reduction of one third. Per capita
GDP in the region has almost tripled; cellular phone subscriptions have
increased by over 55 percent; and internet users by over 30. APEC members
account for almost half of world trade, over 40 percent of the world population
and 56 percent of world GDP. It is a different world today and it is a better
one.
These achievements have been remarkable but success should
come as no surprise. APEC is, after all, based on the premise that regional
economic prosperity is driven primarily by market forces. While governments want
to promote economic growth and increased standards of living, it is private
business that constitutes the engine of growth and leads the way in developing
and adopting new technologies. It is the private sector that carries out the
trade and investment activities that create economic growth.
But governments and intra-governmental bodies build effective
policies which shape the environment in which business operates. By providing
legal frameworks, good governance and stable and open markets; a
business-conducive environment; and addressing sudden shocks to our markets and
communities, APEC members have the capacity to influence the economic
environment at a global level.
While APEC's original "three pillars" - trade liberalization,
trade facilitation and economic and technical cooperation - continue to underpin
all of its work, the way APEC pursues its objectives continues to evolve to
accommodate the needs of all their members. However, its flavor largely
determined by the host economy.
As the host of APEC 2008, Peru has given priority to projects
that will not only satisfy imminent needs but which anticipate and address
challenges of the future. For example, Peru has taken a leadership role in
strengthening trade relations between established economic players and newly
emerging ones.
APEC 2008 Peru is also paying close attention to enduring
challenges and the issues most relevant to the social dimensions of the APEC
agenda.
For example, it is frequently argued that globalization is of obvious benefit
to large corporations but potentially damaging to owners of small and medium
sized businesses. APEC 2008 recognizes that the ability to compete in an
international arena is indeed critical to SMEs. SMEs account for over 80 percent
of all enterprises and employ as much as 60 percent of the work force in the
APEC region. Yet, at present, they only account for about 30 to 35 percent of
exports. In the context of APEC 2008, this represents a phenomenal opportunity.
By empowering SMEs, the globalization can stimulate returns that are both more
notable and more broadly experienced.
This is also why APEC 2008 has focused specifically on the development of
private/public partnerships. By engaging the private and public sector in
projects of mutual interest, both enjoy the benefits of their commitment while
at the same time, the playing field is leveled. Small and medium sized
businesses are being developed and positioned to take advantage of the
opportunities available to them. And, ultimately, this will lead to better
business and greater gains for all.
Another particularly relevant example is the region's stake
in global responses to the challenges of climate change, energy security and
clean development. APEC economies account for 60 percent of global energy demand
and include the world's four largest energy consumers, as well as some major
energy producers. Apart from a responsibility to deflect the scale of its own
environmental impact, addressing issues such as energy and climate change is
fundamental to the macroeconomic stability and sustainable growth of the region.
It is generally acknowledged that higher domestic fuel prices
will drive inflation, and that this will be a threat to macroeconomic stability.
This is particularly true as people throughout the region are already feeling
the effects of rising food and fuel prices and governments find themselves
facing a dilemma: stricter monetary policies may seem an effective response to
inflation but threaten to exacerbate the situation and lead to political
instability.
A range of policy instruments are therefore being discussed
with a view to protecting member economies from the effects of higher and more
volatile energy prices. Finance Ministers have noted the importance of adequate
investment in oil production, refining capacity, and technology transfer for
energy conservation, and have advised economies to foster the reduction of
demand-distorting subsidies on the energy market. Perhaps one alternative is the
promotion of new sources of energy, such as natural gas or biofuel.
Our ability to find sound economic solutions to environmental
challenges will be fundamental as the world becomes increasingly globalized.
The Senior Officials Committee on Trade and Investment is
working to put forward an APEC list of environmental goods for potential tariff
reduction and possible elimination to complement the WTO process. If this is
achieved, barriers to trade in energy saving and energy efficient products will
effectively be removed.
The Asia Pacific region has before it both new opportunities
and new challenges. Markets are now truly global. Relationships between some
economies are waning while others are being strengthened.
In addressing the challenges of our time, the importance of
alliances cannot be overstated. The success of APEC, which may have seemed to
defy reason, is largely attributable to the will of diverse economies to
cooperate toward a single common goal. Now, as we consider the seismic shifts in
the modern landscape, perhaps the most significant is the increased
interdependence amongst world economies.
This year alone, Peru has signed free trade agreements with
Canada, the United States, Singapore, and Thailand; and is in negotiations with
China and the European Union.
There are an approximate 385 free trade agreements throughout
the world. Of these, no less than 119 are within the Asia Pacific region.
Completed FTA/RTAs amongst APEC members total 27 and an additional 16 are
currently under negotiation.
The Asia-Pacific is now one of the most dynamic economic
regions in the world, accounting for 45 percent of the world total imports and
44 percent of exports. But 70 percent of APEC's trade activity is conducted
within the region. While it is a long-term vision, APEC is currently exploring
the possibility of a Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific. Stakeholders should
have the freedom to explore all opportunities so as to ensure a stable and
secure trading environment for the region.
Culturally, Russia has most often been aligned with Europe
and, at present, the majority of Russia's trade partners are within the EU and
CIS.
But the pendulum of economic growth now swings toward the
Asia-Pacific. APEC outranks the world average in GDP growth as well as GDP per
capita. As the Asia-Pacific continues to grow, so too will the need for it to
achieve greater economic efficiency, productivity and competitiveness. In
addition to opportunities in trade and enhanced trade relationships, the value
of APEC to Russia will become increasingly pronounced.
In the years after Russia's joining APEC in 1998 through
2005, its exports to APEC member economies increased by 97 percent and imports
from the same economies by 208 percent. As Russia's economy continues to grow,
structural reform will be fundamental to the development of a market that is
healthy and robust. The role of APEC in this process should not be
underestimated.
Consistent and sound economic strategy, a fully modernized
financial system in which investors feel confident is essential to expansion. In
recent years, a number of important reforms have already been implemented in the
areas of tax, banking, labor and land codes.
As Russia develops and implements such reforms, it reaps the
benefits of participation in APEC policy-related and technical working groups
and in capacity-building initiatives. This is particularly true as Russia
prepares to host APEC in 2012.
In addition, APEC's principles of free and open trade and the
work being done in areas such as structural reform, SMEs, education and
transparency will be helpful as Russia's trade relationships proliferate. Fifty
percent of world trade occurs through free trade agreements.
As a major power in the Asia Pacific region, Russia plays an
important role, both as an APEC member economy and as a rising global entity.
Russia belongs to the economic group, referred to by Goldman
Sachs as BRICS - Brazil, Russia, India and China - which is one of the main
actors in the new international economic structure. This group is transforming
the balance of power between developed and developing economies. Today,
once-secondary economic players are competing alongside and in some cases
succeeding traditional powers in the international market. Moreover, in 2006,
BRICS invested 75 billion in other economies. From that amount, 55 billion were
invested in OECD economies.
APEC economies with the greatest recent GDP growth rates are
Russia, Peru, China and Vietnam and this illustrates the ephemeral nature of
global wealth concentration. Latin American economies have been particularly
ambitious in fostering relationships within the region, conducting almost 185
billion dollars in trade with Asia in 2006.
For Russia, APEC 2012 represents an opportunity for
development and integration and an excellent platform for the promotion of its
potential to throughout the world.
At the same time, APEC 2012 presents a great challenge for
its government and society: the Russian economy will benefit greatly from
business opportunities created by the 2012 APEC CEO Summit - particularly in
terms of investment and trade, which will directly benefit SMEs. By the end of
2012, Russia's relationship with the Asia-Pacific will have been renewed and
stronger than ever before. It will be fully inserted to both regional and
markets.
Russia is a cornerstone to the region that has come to
epitomize economic prosperity in the 21st century and its voice will be
increasingly influential in the global arena.
The Russian chairmanship of APEC 2012 is an unparalleled
opportunity not only to exhibit Russia's own economic
achievements and some dramatic advances made in a relatively short space of
time. But perhaps more importantly, Russia will be positioned to facilitate
critical debate, affect the international agenda and to shape the global
economic landscape.